Thunder Expected to Win Big

No. 4 Indiana Pacers (50-32, 20-20 Away) play No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in Game 2 of this NBA Finals matchup at Paycom Center. The Pacers lead the series 1-0.

There’s a case for taking the 1.93 that the Thunder can overcome the -11 against the Pacers. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

Pacers Landed 111-110 Victory in Previous H2H

When Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder went head-to-head on Thursday night, the Pacers claimed a 111-110 win at Paycom Center.

Pascal Siakam bagged 19 points and 10 rebounds for the Pacers, while Obadiah Toppin had 17 points and Myles Turner 15. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 38 points for the Thunder, with Jalen Williams recording 17 and Luguentz Dort 15.

The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Pacers winning six times.

Indiana Pacers – Last 10 Games

The Pacers have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 115.9 points, 39.5 rebounds, 26.5 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 48.9% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 114.0 points and 43.3 rebounds per contest.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 22.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton averages 8.7 assist and 2.5 (34.7%) 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 113.1 points, 42.2 rebounds, 23.3 assists, 11.2 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 46.4% from the field and 79.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 106.9 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 6.7 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.9 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.4 (36.4%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace.

Expert NBA Analysis

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Pacers vs Thunder stats:

The -11 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
The -11 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games at home.

Pacers vs Thunder Prediction

There’s a case to be made for OKC Thunder on the spread in this NBA matchup. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -11 line at odds of 1.93 considering they should be superior.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

Thunder -11 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Our Pick

Thunder -11 @ 1.93 Bet Now

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Published 10:52, 08 June 2025

Player Props

Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 Assists 1.43

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) has racked up Over 0.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. We expect this trend to continue which means him covering the Player Assists line at available betting odds of 1.43.

Latest Aaron Nesmith Player Prop Odds

Points

Assists

Rebounds

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Luguentz Dort Over 3.5 Rebounds 1.80

Luguentz Dort (Thunder) has had Over 3.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with odds of 1.80 now available.

Latest Luguentz Dort Player Prop Odds

Points

Assists

Rebounds

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Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Bet Builder Tips

Spread Thunder -11

Totals Under 228.5

Player Assists Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Thunder -11 on the spread, combined with Under 228.5 and Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) to have Over 0.5 assists.

We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Pacers

104 - 119 Thunder logo

Thunder

The Thunder to win by a 119-104 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Heavy Favorites to Win

Oklahoma City Thunder have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming 1.18 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are the underdogs at 5.20 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 11 and total points has a line of 228. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 228, there are odds of 1.93.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get 1.93 that he goes Over 34.5 points and 1.80 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

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Player Assists

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

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Player Rebounds

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

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Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
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Last 5 Games

Pacers

NBA Playoffs: 20/06 Thunder 91 Pacers108
NBA Playoffs: 17/06 Pacers 109 Thunder120
NBA Playoffs: 14/06 Thunder 111 Pacers104
NBA Playoffs: 12/06 Thunder 107 Pacers116
NBA Playoffs: 09/06 Pacers 107 Thunder123

Thunder

NBA Playoffs: 20/06 Thunder 91 Pacers108
NBA Playoffs: 17/06 Pacers 109 Thunder120
NBA Playoffs: 14/06 Thunder 111 Pacers104
NBA Playoffs: 12/06 Thunder 107 Pacers116
NBA Playoffs: 09/06 Pacers 107 Thunder123

Head to Head

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
+7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
-7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 221.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 214.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 214.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.40 pts and allowed 110.80 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 115.70 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 225.40 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 214.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
Over 214.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.30 pts and allowed 112.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 103.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (53%)
3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
Free Throws Made: 21.30 (78.89%)
Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 31.50
Assists: 24.20
Blocks: 6.00
Steals: 9.90
Turnovers : 15.40
Personal Fouls: 23.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

2-Pointers Made: 27.20 (55%)
3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (42%)
Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.35%)
Rebounds: Total 42.7, Offensive 9.20, Defensive 33.50
Assists: 26.60
Blocks: 6.30
Steals: 6.50
Turnovers : 15.50
Personal Fouls: 23.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (52%)
3-Pointers Made: 11.30 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 22.40 (83.58%)
Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 30.30
Assists: 20.00
Blocks: 5.20
Steals: 10.30
Turnovers : 12.90
Personal Fouls: 21.30

Last 10 Home Games

2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (53%)
3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (38%)
Free Throws Made: 22.40 (82.66%)
Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.60
Assists: 25.40
Blocks: 6.40
Steals: 12.20
Turnovers : 10.30
Personal Fouls: 21.30

Team News

Indiana Pacers Player Stats & Roster

Player	GP	MIN	TP	TA	PTS	AST	3P	REB	BLK	STL
Tyrese Haliburton	22	34.76	390	197	17.7	9.0	2.3	5.6	0.7	1.4
Pascal Siakam	22	33.35	456	76	20.7	3.5	1.5	6.5	0.7	1.2
Andrew Nembhard	22	33.28	272	101	12.4	4.6	1.7	3.1	0.2	1.6

Myles Turner	22	29.59	311	31	14.1	1.4	1.4	4.8	2.1	0.5
Aaron Nesmith	22	28.17	288	25	13.1	1.1	2.7	5.6	0.7	0.8
Obadiah Toppin	22	19.06	216	29	9.8	1.3	1.1	3.9	0.4	0.7
T.J. McConnell	22	17	202	90	9.2	4.1	0.4	3.1	0.0	0.9
Bennedict Mathurin	21	16.73	219	16	10.4	0.8	0.8	2.9	0.4	0.3
Ben Sheppard	20	13.83	67	8	3.4	0.4	0.8	1.8	0.1	0.4
Jarace Walker	12	9.73	36	8	3.0	0.7	0.7	1.8	0.2	0.2
Thomas Bryant	18	9.21	52	4	2.9	0.2	0.5	1.5	0.3	0.2
Tony Bradley	10	7.27	15	3	1.5	0.3	-	2.0	0.1	-
James Johnson	5	3.66	7	2	1.4	0.4	-	0.4	0.6	0.4
Johnny Furphy	10	3.43	2	1	0.2	0.1	-	0.6	0.1	-
Isaiah Jackson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player	GP	MIN	TP	TA	PTS	AST	3P	REB	BLK	STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	22	36.85	659	138	30.0	6.3	1.3	5.4	0.8	1.7
Jalen Williams	22	34.44	472	107	21.5	4.9	1.5	5.6	0.4	1.4
Chet Holmgren	22	29.74	331	22	15.0	1.0	1.2	8.7	1.7	0.7

Luguentz Dort	22	28.66	173	20	7.9	0.9	2.1	3.7	0.5	1.2
Alex Caruso	22	24.08	202	51	9.2	2.3	1.6	2.7	0.5	1.9
Isaiah Hartenstein	22	22.62	179	47	8.1	2.1	-	7.5	0.5	0.8
Cason Wallace	22	22.26	118	48	5.4	2.2	0.8	2.7	0.5	1.3
Aaron Wiggins	21	13.82	132	21	6.3	1.0	1.2	2.3	0.3	0.5
Isaiah Joe	21	10.04	107	14	5.1	0.7	1.1	1.4	0.1	0.3
Kenrich Williams	15	8.81	39	7	2.6	0.5	0.3	2.3	0.1	0.5
Jaylin Williams	17	8.26	45	17	2.6	1.0	0.5	1.9	0.1	0.5
Ajay Mitchell	11	7.57	41	9	3.7	0.8	0.5	0.8	-	0.2
Dillon Jones	9	5.09	23	5	2.6	0.6	0.3	1.0	0.1	0.1
Ousmane Dieng	8	3.95	14	3	1.8	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1	-