Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Expect Points in Mercury at Lynx

The Mercury square off against the Lynx in this Commissioner's Cup matchup at Target Center.

Over 156 points seems like a realistic outcome when the Mercury go up against the Lynx. We’re taking odds of 1.89 on the basis that the total line is too low.

9 of Last 10 Clashes Have Been Lynx Wins

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 85-80 at Crypto.com Arena. Satou Sabally starred with 25 points, with Kitija Laksa and Kathryn Westbeld both scoring 15.

Minnesota Lynx made it seven straight wins when beating Golden State Valkyries by a 86-75 scoreline on the road at Chase Center last time out. Napheesa Collier scored 24 points and had 11 rebounds, while Courtney Williams recorded 20 points and Kayla McBride 16.

The Lynx triumphed 74-71 when they last played the Mercury. This head-to-head was played at Footprint Center. The Lynx have beaten the Mercury in the past five matchups. They’ve also claimed 9 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	12	2	1167	1031	136	7-0	5-2	1L
3  Mercury	11	4	1234	1173	61	6-2	5-2	5W

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Expert WNBA Analysis

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making WNBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The 156 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games on the road.
• The 156 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mercury games on the road.
• The 156 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lynx games at home.
• The 156 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lynx games.

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

There are odds of 1.89 about Over 156 points and this looks generous for this WNBA showdown. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over wager and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Over 156 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Our Pick

Over 156 Points @ 1.89 Bet Now

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Player Props

Kayla McBride Over 15.5 Points 1.93

Kayla McBride (Lynx) can be backed to score Over 15.5 points at 1.93. There’s a fairly strong case that she will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on her Player Points.

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Courtney Williams Over 5.5 Assists 1.82

Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be backed to record Over 5.5 assists at 1.82. We can place a Player Assists bet with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the total.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 78 - 85 Lynx

Rather than betting on the Lynx to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 85-78 victory in their favor.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lynx Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 90% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their 1.11 betting odds about Minnesota Lynx triumphing in this WNBA game. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at 6.90.

The spread currently stands at 12.5 and the total points line is 158.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 158.5, this selection is available at 1.95.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

6.90

Lynx

1.11

Point Spread

Mercury +12.5

1.89

Lynx -12.5

1.93

Total Points

Under 158.5

1.87

Over 158.5

1.95

Napheesa Collier Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Napheesa Collier is available at 1.79 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then 1.94 is available.

Player Points

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 22.5

1.79

Under 22.5

1.94

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 21.5

1.86

Under 21.5

1.86

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 14.5

1.93

Under 14.5

1.80

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 13.5

1.88

Under 13.5

1.84

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 9.5

1.91

Under 9.5

1.81

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 8.5

1.81

Under 8.5

1.91

Player Assists

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 6.5

2.14

Under 6.5

1.65

Player Rebounds

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 8.5

1.77

Under 8.5

1.96

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 8.5

2.00

Under 8.5

1.74

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 4.5

1.64

Under 4.5

2.15

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 4.5

1.79

Under 4.5

1.94

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	12	2	1167	1031	136	7-0	5-2	1L
2  Liberty	11	3	1229	1082	147	6-1	5-2	1W
3  Mercury	11	4	1234	1173	61	6-2	5-2	5W
4  Dream	10	5	1252	1157	95	6-1	4-4	1L
5  Storm	9	6	1250	1192	58	5-3	4-3	1L
6  Valkyries	7	7	1105	1100	5	5-3	2-4	1L
7  Mystics	8	8	1275	1282	-7	5-3	3-5	3W
8  Aces	7	8	1210	1231	-21	5-4	2-4	1L
9  Fever	7	8	1251	1195	56	4-4	3-4	1L
10  Sparks	5	11	1305	1384	-79	1-6	4-5	1W
11  Sky	4	10	1091	1235	-144	2-4	2-6	1W
12  Wings	4	12	1302	1362	-60	2-5	2-7	1W
13  Sun	2	13	1064	1311	-247	1-6	1-7	7L

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