Phoenix Mercury

Basketball WNBA Barclays Center Fri 20 Jun 07:00

New York Liberty

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

Liberty to Outclass Mercury

The Liberty can finish well clear of the Mercury and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is 1.91 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -11.5 line.

Liberty Won 84-70 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Phoenix Mercury got the win in their previous game. A 83-75 triumph occurred on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena when playing Connecticut Sun.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 86-81 home victory against Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center.

The scoreline was 84-70 in favor of the Liberty when they last played the Mercury, with the matchup taking place at Footprint Center. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Liberty land six wins.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Liberty 11 3 1229 1082 147 6-1 5-2 1W
Mercury 11 4 1234 1173 61 6-2 5-2 5W
View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each franchise and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:

  • The -11.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Mercury vs Liberty Prediction

There’s a case for taking the 1.91 that New York Liberty can overcome the -11.5 in this WNBA matchup. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Liberty -11.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Liberty -11.5 @ 1.91 Bet Now bet365 logo
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Published 11:52, 19 June 2025

Player Props

Satou Sabally Under 7.5 Rebounds 2.07 bet365 logo

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to have Under 7.5 rebounds at 2.07. We really like this player prop so we’re going to bet on her to fall short when it comes to rebounds.


Jonquel Jones Over 12.5 Points 1.86 bet365 logo

Jonquel Jones (Liberty) is available at 1.86 to total Over 12.5 points. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as she is capable of a big performance.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Bet Builder Tips

Spread Liberty -11.5
Totals Under 161
Player Rebounds Satou Sabally Under 7.5

Our same game parlay pick is Liberty -11.5 on the spread, Under 161.5 and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to record Under 7.5 rebounds.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury Mercury logo 71 - 87 Liberty logo Liberty

The Liberty to win by a 87-71 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Liberty

New York Liberty are strong 1.12 favorites to win this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 89% chance of claiming victory. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at 6.20.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 163.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 163.5, then the odds are 1.91.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to score most points is Sabrina Ionescu. You can get 1.86 that she scores Over 19.5 points and the same odds that she goes Under.

Player Points

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)
Over 19.5
1.86
Under 19.5
1.86
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 19.5
1.90
Under 19.5
1.82
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Breanna Stewart (Liberty)
Over 18.5
1.84
Under 18.5
1.88
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Jonquel Jones (Liberty)
Over 12.5
1.83
Under 12.5
1.89
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Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 8.5
1.76
Under 8.5
1.97
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Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)
Over 5.5
1.98
Under 5.5
1.75
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Natasha Cloud (Liberty)
Over 5.5
1.70
Under 5.5
2.05
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Breanna Stewart (Liberty)
Over 3.5
2.07
Under 3.5
1.68
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Player Rebounds

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)
Over 10.5
1.96
Under 10.5
1.77
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 7.5
1.71
Under 7.5
2.04
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 7.5
2.06
Under 7.5
1.70
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Breanna Stewart (Liberty)
Over 5.5
1.72
Under 5.5
2.02
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Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats

New York Liberty logo New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

Point Spread

Total Points

Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 12 2 1167 1031 136 7-0 5-2 1L
Liberty 11 3 1229 1082 147 6-1 5-2 1W
Mercury 11 4 1234 1173 61 6-2 5-2 5W
Dream 10 5 1252 1157 95 6-1 4-4 1L
Storm 9 6 1250 1192 58 5-3 4-3 1L
Valkyries 7 7 1105 1100 5 5-3 2-4 1L
Mystics 8 8 1275 1282 -7 5-3 3-5 3W
Aces 7 8 1210 1231 -21 5-4 2-4 1L
Fever 7 8 1251 1195 56 4-4 3-4 1L
10  Sparks 5 11 1305 1384 -79 1-6 4-5 1W
11  Sky 4 10 1091 1235 -144 2-4 2-6 1W
12  Wings 4 12 1302 1362 -60 2-5 2-7 1W
13  Sun 2 13 1064 1311 -247 1-6 1-7 7L