Parma vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 May 2025

Will Goals Be at a Premium?

We’re expecting a low goal tally when survial hopefuls Parma and league leaders Napoli go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of 1.91 looks attractive.

Napoli 2-1 Winners When Teams Last Met

Parma have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at Stadio Carlo Castellani against Empoli. I Crociati had most of the ball recording 54% possession and two shots on target, while Milan Djuric registered the goal.

Napoli played Genoa at home in their previous game. It was a 2-2 draw at Diego Armando Maradona. The Naples team enjoyed 59% possession and had eleven shots on goal, with Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three victories on the bounce for Napoli when playing Parma. In the last encounter, home team Napoli claimed a 2-1 win at Diego Armando Maradona. The previous 6 games involving these sides have featured four Napoli wins and two Parma triumphs.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	6	1	5	6:1	9
19	Parma	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1:5	1

View Full Table

1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Parma have had 46.0% possession, 385.0 passes and 3.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorers are Mateo Pellegrino and Jacob Ondrejka on 3 goals, while Milan Djuric has bagged 1. Leading assistor is Emanuele Valeri with 3, while goalie Zion Suzuki has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Napoli have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.0% possession, 477.3 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 9.2 attempts and 1.9 shots on goal.

Scott McTominay has top scored with 5 goals, while Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori are next on 4 and 3. Romelu Lukaku is top assists provider with 3, while Alex Meret has kept 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Parma confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Zion Suzuki (GK), Alessandro Circati, Giovanni Leoni, Botond Balogh, Enrico Del Prato, Hernani, Mandela Keita, Simon Sohm, Emanuele Valeri, Ange-Yoan Bonny, Mateo Pellegrino.

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Mathias Olivera, Leonardo Spinazzola, Billy Gilmour, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay, Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori.

Parma vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this Serie A encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of 1.91.

A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Parma vs Napoli league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Parma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Parma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Parma games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Napoli games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Napoli games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Napoli games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those wanting to back Under 2.5 Goals but in search of a bigger price could go for the Bet Builder option. This involves adding picks from other markets in the hunt for a nice pay out.

Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Parma 0 - 1 Napoli

Our prediction for the correct score is Napoli to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at 6.10. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners

It’s been three consecutive Napoli matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 7.40 corners in the last five Parma games. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at 1.80.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Parma

Total

8.70 3.60 5.10

Home

8.70 3.90 4.80

Away

10.10 4.40 5.70

Napoli

Total

9.80 5.30 4.50

Home

10.50 7.00 3.50

Away

8.60 3.90 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Parma Corners

Napoli Corners

Most Corners

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Parma vs Napoli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Napoli Victory

Some will want to go ahead and back Napoli at 1.45 to win this Serie A game. After all, this betting price suggests a 69% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Parma are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at 6.75.

Napoli are available at 1.79 on the Asian Handicap -1. That means a victory by two or more goals against Parma triggers a payout and a one-goal triumph sees you get money back.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score No pick is 1.70 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

The top football betting sites cover Serie A matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Romelu Lukaku is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Those interested in Romelu Lukaku to find the net anytime are able to get 2.45. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of 4.60.

Parma vs Napoli Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Parma vs Napoli team news.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Serie A squads.

Parma Team Page Napoli Team Page