São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro

São Paulo host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Monday 25 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Why We’re Backing São Paulo

There are several reasons to back São Paulo on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of 1.86. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Atlético Mineiro.

If you're siding with our São Paulo to win prediction, make sure to claim the latest Stake promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Battle

São Paulo played Sport Recife on their travels in their last Série A game. It was a 2-2 draw. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 67% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Lucas Moura and Maik Gomes scored one goal each.

On Tuesday night, São Paulo enjoyed a penalty shoot-out victory (1-1 AET) when hosting Atlético Nacional in the Copa Libertadores.

Atlético Mineiro lost when they last played in Série A, being beaten 3-1 at home to Grêmio. Cuca's team had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 63% possession and three shots on goal, with Gustavo Scarpa on the scoresheet.

Three days ago, Atlético claimed a 1-0 Copa Sudamericana victory away to Godoy Cruz.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the past three meetings between São Paulo and Atlético, with the last encounter finishing 0-0. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Atlético triumphs and six draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	23	9	8	6	27	23	4	27:23	35
13	Atlético MG	21	6	7	8	21	25	-4	21:25	25

View Full Table

São Paulo have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Hernan Crespo's team have averaged 51.9% possession and 5.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 7.3 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Luciano Neves has found the net 4 times, with Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre scoring 2 each. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves are tied for the most assists on 3.

Atlético have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 10.4 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 50.4% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Hulk is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gustavo Scarpa, Gabriel Menino, Igor Gomes and Natanael have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hulk, Tomas Cuello and Biel who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Nahuel Ferraresi, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, Damian Bobadilla, Andre, Ferreira.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Gabriel Menino, Vitor Hugo, Ivan Roman, Caio Paulista, Fausto Vera, Alan Franco, Igor Gomes, Junior Santos, Rony, Reinier.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

São Paulo look a great bet for this Série A game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of 1.86 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at jeetwin24.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• São Paulo have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• São Paulo have won 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• São Paulo have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

São Paulo to Win Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 53.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then São Paulo are an option on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 2 - 0 Atlético

A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo can be backed at odds of 6.75. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners

São Paulo have had a higher corner count in six consecutive games. The Corner Match bet can be won by São Paulo and odds of 1.72 can be taken.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.50 5.20 4.30

Home

10.00 5.40 4.60

Away

10.60 4.20 6.40

Atlético

Total

11.00 5.30 5.70

Home

11.00 8.00 3.00

Away

12.40 6.10 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

São Paulo Corners

Atlético Corners

Most Corners

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São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

São Paulo Favourites to Win According to Bookies

With the bookmakers affording them a 58% chance of winning, São Paulo might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are 1.73 when it comes to this Série A encounter. Atlético Mineiro are the underdogs at 5.00 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Backing São Paulo -0.75 at 2.00 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Atlético for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at 1.60 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Luciano da Rocha Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in favourite Luciano da Rocha to find the net first can get 4.70, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is 2.85.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

The São Paulo vs Atlético team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

São Paulo Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page