São Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Fluminense

São Paulo host Fluminense in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 03:00 on Monday 28 July. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Underestimate Fluminense

Fluminense +0.25 at 1.88 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against São Paulo, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

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Fluminense Overcame São Paulo in Last Meeting

São Paulo won their previous Série A game 1-0. This road win against Juventude made it two league victories on the spin. Hernan Crespo's team had most of the ball enjoying 63% possession and three shots on target, with Luciano Neves bagging a late winning goal.

Fluminense have lost their previous three games. The latest was a 2-1 home defeat to Palmeiras. The Big Flu had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 54% possession and one shot on goal, with German Cano on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw Fluminense record a 2-0 home victory against São Paulo. There have been four wins apiece and two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	23	9	8	6	27	23	4	27:23	35
10	Fluminense	21	8	4	9	25	29	-4	25:29	28

View Full Table

São Paulo have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 49.3% possession and 4.5 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 6.0 corners.

Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 4 goals, Andre has 3, with Ryan Francisco and Robert Arboleda on 1. Luciano Neves is the top assists maker with 2.

Fluminense have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro side have averaged 55.6% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Kevin Serna has landed 3 goals, German Cano 2, with Paulo Baya and two others scoring 1. Jhon Arias has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Marcos Antonio, Damian Bobadilla, Alisson, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Luciano Neves, Ferreira.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Fabio (GK), Manoel Messias, Thiago Silva, Juan Freytes, Guga, Martinelli, Facundo Bernal, Vinicius Lima, Agustin Canobbio, John Kennedy, Everaldo.

São Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

The São Paulo vs Fluminense betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Fluminense can swerve defeat in this Série A encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at 1.88. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

We study the Série A form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key São Paulo vs Fluminense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 6 of their last 10 games against Fluminense.

Fluminense +0.25 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 53.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 0 - 1 Fluminense

Fluminense can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the 8.00 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners

There has been four straight Fluminense away games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been three consecutive São Paulo matches where the same thing has happened. There are odds of 1.83 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

10.50 4.50 6.00

Home

10.70 6.30 4.40

Away

10.20 3.30 6.90

Fluminense

Total

10.10 4.60 5.50

Home

10.60 7.00 3.60

Away

10.20 3.50 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

São Paulo Corners

Fluminense Corners

Most Corners

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São Paulo vs Fluminense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make São Paulo Most Likely Winners

The bookies have São Paulo as 2.08 favourites for this Série A clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 48% likely to win. The 4.10 means that Fluminense are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

São Paulo can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting 1.42. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Fluminense are 2.65.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s 1.56 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

If you’re betting on Série A matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

André Oliveira Silva Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in André Oliveira Silva to find the net anytime are able to get 3.80. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of 6.75.

São Paulo vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the São Paulo vs Fluminense team news before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

São Paulo Team Page Fluminense Team Page