Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle

Vasco da Gama host Independiente del Valle in the second leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Wednesday 23 July. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Vasco Primed to Win

Vasco da Gama should be able to deliver a return when they go up against IDV, with odds of 1.75 looking really appealing. We think that the Full-Time Result market is the way to play this wager.

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IDV Won First Leg 4-0

Vasco da Gama played Grêmio at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 Série A draw. The Rio de Janeiro club recorded seven shots on target and boasted 64% possession, with Lucas Freitas registering the goal.

Independiente del Valle won their previous game, beating Aucas at home. It was a 2-1 LigaPro triumph.

Head-to-Head Statistics

IDV won 4-0 at home against Vasco in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie. Their dominance was helped by Vasco's Lucas Piton being sent off in the 12th minute. IDV controlled 77% of possession and led the shots on target 13-3, with goals from Patrik Mercado (2), Mateo Carabajal, and Claudio Spinelli.

Confirmed Lineups

Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Hugo Moura, Victor Luis, Tche Tche, Jair, Rayan, Nuno Moreira, David, Pablo Vegetti.

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Guido Villar (GK), Matias Fernandez, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Gustavo Cortez, Darwin Guagua, Jordy Alcivar, Patrik Mercado, Renato Ibarra, Claudio Spinelli, Ronald Briones.

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Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vasco da Gama look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of 1.75 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Copa Sudamericana clash.

The latest Copa Sudamericana team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

Vasco have won 10 of their last 20 games at home.

Vasco to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Vasco on the Asian Handicap. Those expecting our winner to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.

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Our Match Prediction

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Published 12:37, 21 July 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Vasco

2 - 0 IDV logo

IDV

There are betting odds of 7.00 that Vasco land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti to Score

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) has managed six goals in his past nine home matches. There are odds of 2.06 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots

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Bet Builder Tips

Full-Time Result Vasco

Both Team To Score No

Anytime Goalscorer Pablo Vegetti

Our bet builder selections include Vasco da Gama to claim a victory, BTTS No and Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) to score at any time.

It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vasco Match Odds Suggest Victory

For this Copa Sudamericana clash, Vasco da Gama are the 1.56 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 64% chance of winning. Independiente del Valle are seen as the most unlikely winner at 5.80.

Vasco winning by one goal means that the Asian Handicap -1 selection would get a full refund. However, you would get paid out at 2.02 if they manage to beat IDV by two or more.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at 1.78.

For those wagering on Copa Sudamericana matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Pablo Vegetti is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Pablo Vegetti is the market leader at 3.90 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

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Player Shots

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

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Best Betting Offers

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Last 5 Games

Vasco da Gama

IDV

Head to Head

Vasco da Gama vs IDV

Copa Sudamericana: 16/07 2025 IDV 4 Vasco da Gama 0

Team Stats

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Vasco da Gama Stats

Independiente del Valle Stats

Full-Time Result

2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Vasco vs IDV team news before wagering. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups plus current injury reports.