Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Sunday 17 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Our Best Asian Handicap Bet

Vélez Sarsfield at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Independiente. Backing the hosts at 1.83 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.

Ready to follow our Asian Handicap pick? Claim the current Stake promo code and learn more about the site in our expert review before you decide where to put your money.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 3-0 Independiente Victory

Vélez Sarsfield suffered a defeat in their last Primera División game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against San Lorenzo. El Fortín enjoyed 59% of possession although they couldn’t manage a single shot on target.

On Tuesday night, Vélez travelled to Fortaleza and drew 0-0 in the Copa Libertadores.

Independiente played River Plate at home in their previous Primera División game. It was a 0-0 draw. Julio Vaccari's side recorded four shots on goal and had 51% possession.

The last outing involving Independiente saw them lose 1-0 when hosting Universidad de Chile in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two teams last met, Independiente claimed a home win. Beating Vélez by a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 9 H2H games have featured four draws, three victories for Independiente and two wins for Vélez.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

Vélez have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 5.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team have averaged 53.3% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.3 corners from 9.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Maher Carrizo and Braian Romero have found the net 2 times, with Tomas Galvan scoring 1. Agustin Bouzat is the top assists maker on 2.

Independiente have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 8.6 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 62.8% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

We’ve seen Nicolas Freire, Gabriel Avalos, Felipe Loyola, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel score 1 goals each. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Lisandro Magallan, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez, Tobias Andrada, Rodrigo Aliendro, Tomas Galvan, Imanol Machuca, Francisco Pizzini, Dilan Godoy.

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Milton Valenzuela, Ivan Marcone, Lautaro Millan, Pablo Galdames, Matias Abaldo, Ignacio Pussetto, Diego Tarzia.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Vélez Sarsfield are available at odds of 1.83 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Primera División game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Primera División verdict is reached.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Vélez 0.0 Probability

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Vélez.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 Independiente

We’re taking a chance on Vélez to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of 5.80 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners

The five past away matches involving Independiente have had an average of 7.40 corners, with the last five Vélez home games featuring 8.60. There are odds of 1.78 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.70 4.40 4.30

Home

8.90 5.60 3.30

Away

7.60 2.80 4.80

Independiente

Total

8.90 5.00 3.90

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

7.50 3.90 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Vélez Corners

Independiente Corners

Most Corners

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Think the Game Could Go Either Way

The bookies have betting odds of 2.65 for Vélez Sarsfield to win this Primera División clash, while you could instead opt for Independiente at 2.85, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at 3.05.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Vélez at 3.45 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Independiente at 3.60. The draw is the third option at 1.87.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is 1.57 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Primera División games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Braian Romero Favourite to Find the Net First

Braian Romero can be backed to find the net anytime at 3.95, with 6.40 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Vélez vs Independiente team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División and the newest injury information.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Independiente Team Page