Raiders vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Raiders vs Commanders

The Las Vegas Raiders face the Washington Commanders in this NFL Week 3 matchup at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 01:00 on Monday 22 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Expect Commanders to Dominate Raiders

We’re backing the Commanders against the spread when they face the Raiders. It could be shrewd to bet on them to cover the appealing -3 line, with odds of 1.94 on offer.

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17-15 Win for Commanders in Last H2H Clash

Las Vegas Raiders were beaten 20-9 at SoFi Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Chargers. The Raiders put up 218 total yards, made up of 150 through the air and 68 on the ground. They produced 15 first downs and allowed 15.

Washington Commanders were beaten last game and this was on the road at Lambeau Field. Green Bay Packers claimed a 27-18 win. The Commanders generated 230 yards, including 179 passing and 51 rushing yards. They picked up 15 first downs and scored two touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 17-15 victory was registered against the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

Marcus Mariota

Raiders vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Our Raiders vs Commanders betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

We expect the Commanders to cover the -3 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at 1.94 for this NFL showdown.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert picks, our NFL handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Raiders vs Commanders stats:

• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Raiders in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Raiders in 6 of their last 10 games.

Commanders -3 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Raiders 17 - 30 Commanders

Should you want to go for a selection at huge odds, head to the correct score lines where the Commanders can be backed speculatively to achieve a 30-17 victory.

Raiders vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Commanders Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Washington Commanders are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of 1.65. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Raiders are trading at 2.30.

The spread currently stands at 3 and the total points line is 43.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 43.5, this outcome can be backed at 1.95.

Every matchup offers a deep selection of team props and game lines and the top NFL betting sites deliver excellent pre-game and in-game wagering opportunities. It’s all about finding the bets that match your game plan.

Ashton Jeanty Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Those interested in favorite Ashton Jeanty to score the first touchdown are able to get 6.50. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is 1.95.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Can Commanders Keep Their Home Form Going?

The Commanders are riding four straight wins at Northwest Stadium. They have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 29.50 points per matchup and conceding 19.70.

The Raiders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 18.70 points per contest while yielding 24.40.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Commanders Home Stats		8-2	49.20	29.50	19.70	7	3
Raiders Away Stats		3-7	43.10	18.70	24.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.70 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 323.80 Yds. Allowed 339.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 78.90 Yds. Allowed 95.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 245.00 Yds. Allowed 243.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.80 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 368.10 Yds. Allowed 344.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 148.10 Yds. Allowed 133.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 220.00 Yds. Allowed 211.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.30. Allowed 21.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.50 Yds. Gained 55.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 324.40 Yds. Allowed 332.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.40 Yds. Allowed 111.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.10 Yds. Allowed 220.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.20 Yds. Gained 54.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 409.00 Yds. Allowed 279.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 183.40 Yds. Allowed 120.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 225.60 Yds. Allowed 159.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.40. Allowed 16.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.90. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 65.90 Yds. Gained 50.40 Yds

Team News

NFL Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

AFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	3	0	0	1.000	102	71	31	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Patriots	1	2	0	0.333	60	68	-8	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Dolphins	0	3	0	0.000	56	97	-41	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L
Jets	0	3	0	0.000	69	93	-24	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L

AFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bengals	2	1	0	0.667	58	91	-33	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
Steelers	2	1	0	0.667	72	77	-5	0-1-0	2-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Browns	1	2	0	0.333	46	68	-22	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1W

AFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	3	0	0	1.000	103	56	47	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Jaguars	2	1	0	0.667	70	51	19	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Texans	0	3	0	0.000	38	51	-13	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-3-0	3L
Titans	0	3	0	0.000	51	94	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L

AFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	3	0	0	1.000	70	50	20	2-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Chiefs	1	2	0	0.333	60	56	4	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Raiders	1	2	0	0.333	53	74	-21	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	2L
Broncos	1	2	0	0.333	68	64	4	1-0-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	2L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	3	0	0	1.000	77	63	14	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Commanders	2	1	0	0.667	80	57	23	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Cowboys	1	2	0	0.333	74	92	-18	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Giants	0	3	0	0.000	52	83	-31	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	1	0	0.667	64	44	20	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
Vikings	2	1	0	0.667	81	56	25	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Bears	1	2	0	0.333	76	93	-17	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1W

NFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	3	0	0	1.000	72	66	6	1-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Falcons	1	2	0	0.333	42	59	-17	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Panthers	1	2	0	0.333	62	53	9	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Saints	0	3	0	0.000	47	90	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L

NFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	3	0	0	1.000	59	49	10	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Cardinals	2	1	0	0.667	62	51	11	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	2-1-0	1L
Seahawks	2	1	0	0.667	88	47	41	1-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2W
Rams	2	1	0	0.667	73	61	12	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	1L

AFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	3	0	0	1.000	102	71	31	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Chargers	3	0	0	1.000	70	50	20	2-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Bengals	2	1	0	0.667	58	91	-33	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
Colts	3	0	0	1.000	103	56	47	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Raiders	1	2	0	0.333	53	74	-21	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	2L
Patriots	1	2	0	0.333	60	68	-8	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	2	1	0	0.667	72	77	-5	0-1-0	2-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1W
Broncos	1	2	0	0.333	68	64	4	1-0-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	2L
Jaguars	2	1	0	0.667	70	51	19	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Titans	0	3	0	0.000	51	94	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L
Chiefs	1	2	0	0.333	60	56	4	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Jets	0	3	0	0.000	69	93	-24	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L
Browns	1	2	0	0.333	46	68	-22	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1W
Texans	0	3	0	0.000	38	51	-13	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-3-0	3L
Dolphins	0	3	0	0.000	56	97	-41	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L

NFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	3	0	0	1.000	77	63	14	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Buccaneers	3	0	0	1.000	72	66	6	1-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Packers	2	1	0	0.667	64	44	20	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
49ers	3	0	0	1.000	59	49	10	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Cardinals	2	1	0	0.667	62	51	11	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	2-1-0	1L
Rams	2	1	0	0.667	73	61	12	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	1L
Falcons	1	2	0	0.333	42	59	-17	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Seahawks	2	1	0	0.667	88	47	41	1-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2W
Commanders	2	1	0	0.667	80	57	23	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Vikings	2	1	0	0.667	81	56	25	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Cowboys	1	2	0	0.333	74	92	-18	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Panthers	1	2	0	0.333	62	53	9	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Bears	1	2	0	0.333	76	93	-17	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1W
Saints	0	3	0	0.000	47	90	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L
Giants	0	3	0	0.000	52	83	-31	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L

NFL Team	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	3	0	0	1.000	102	71	31	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Colts	3	0	0	1.000	103	56	47	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Chargers	3	0	0	1.000	70	50	20	2-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Eagles	3	0	0	1.000	77	63	14	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3W
49ers	3	0	0	1.000	59	49	10	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Buccaneers	3	0	0	1.000	72	66	6	1-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3W
Cardinals	2	1	0	0.667	62	51	11	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	2-1-0	1L
Bengals	2	1	0	0.667	58	91	-33	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
Packers	2	1	0	0.667	64	44	20	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1L
Jaguars	2	1	0	0.667	70	51	19	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Rams	2	1	0	0.667	73	61	12	1-0-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	2-1-0	1L
Vikings	2	1	0	0.667	81	56	25	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Steelers	2	1	0	0.667	72	77	-5	0-1-0	2-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0	1W
Seahawks	2	1	0	0.667	88	47	41	1-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2W
Commanders	2	1	0	0.667	80	57	23	2-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Falcons	1	2	0	0.333	42	59	-17	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Panthers	1	2	0	0.333	62	53	9	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Bears	1	2	0	0.333	76	93	-17	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1W
Browns	1	2	0	0.333	46	68	-22	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1W
Cowboys	1	2	0	0.333	74	92	-18	1-0-0	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Broncos	1	2	0	0.333	68	64	4	1-0-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	2L
Chiefs	1	2	0	0.333	60	56	4	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1W
Raiders	1	2	0	0.333	53	74	-21	0-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	2L
Patriots	1	2	0	0.333	60	68	-8	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1L
Texans	0	3	0	0.000	38	51	-13	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-3-0	3L
Dolphins	0	3	0	0.000	56	97	-41	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L
Saints	0	3	0	0.000	47	90	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	3L
Giants	0	3	0	0.000	52	83	-31	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L
Jets	0	3	0	0.000	69	93	-24	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L
Titans	0	3	0	0.000	51	94	-43	0-2-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	3L